KWCP Investment Basics June 20 Why Self Direction Maybe Better?

With backgrounds in fund investment, NASDAQ-listed CFO, and investment banking on our research team, we are aware of certain inefficiencies that are inevitable within the capital markets. Here is a couple of reasons why we believe doing your own research and directing your own funds maybe beneficial to some educated investors.

• Noise of Wall Street and Common Sense. Wall Street has many constituencies that each have their individual interests. For example, the public company selling shares, the sell-side bank brokering the shares, and the buy-side fund investing in the shares all have common interests in providing the best information for the end investor. However, they each have different perspectives resulting in different messages appearing in different ways in the public arena. Their messaging is usually on point, and at times, it can be difficult to decipher where the message originated and what the vested interests (and competition) exist with the party that is speaking.

Considering that, common sense often comes into play when messages do not quite ‘smell right’, which is why often grandmothers using good ole’ common sense are at times able to outperform some very high-quality managers. In addition, with the quant and formulaic investors, aka ‘algorithm-based’ traders, capitalizing on a certain mispriced behavior patterns, the ups and downs and volatility only increases the noise when stock prices which no meaningful change to the company.

In the long run, fundamental based research with common sense on the quality of the company has a larger affect on the investment return.

• Fees and Cost Structure. Managers salaries and benefits must be paid and Class-A building rents do not pay for themselves. As a result, there is a real cost of managing funds. In addition to the upkeep fixed costs, there are the marketing costs associated with the fund to gain interest from personal money managers which can be a greater expense. Certainly, some funds and vehicles are worth the investment while others are not.

So, while these managers are experts and professionals, they have a higher hurdle rate to overcome to match your personal investment rate.

• With Greater Dollars, Investment Risk Greater. To enter a larger block of publicly traded shares in a company, all things being equal, an investor may need to pay a higher price on average to enter that given position. A larger number of sellers usually must found. Likewise, to exit a larger position, the average price increases as well since to accommodate the size, traders must find larger number of buyers.

On the converse, someone like Warren Buffet has a considerable amount of funds to invest, and with that buying power, he negotiates very favorable terms and pricing on shares of companies in need of capital. However, only the giants can maneuver like that when no other funds have the interest or available funds. In most cases, investment interest is abundant on good, solid companies.

And with a greater number of dollars to manage, as funds get larger, finding good investments be-comes more difficult so managers either must in-vest in lower quality investments or sit more funds on the sidelines.

Furthermore, if your personal amount to invest is too low, there is less of an ability to diversify in-vestments which, in the long haul, helps returns. On the contrary, though there are limits to the affects of diversification once a certain amount of different investments is used, and therefore, smaller amounts in the same number of investments can yield good results with less risk.

• Nobody Cares About Your Money More Than You. If a fund manager loses your money, certainly they are responsible and remorseful. However, based on many factors, they may simply just be able to raise additional funds from other sources to continue their business. However, this does not help to recover your lost funds as they move on the the next source. We have known many sincere money managers that have lost substantial amounts in the market only to close their existing shop after the loses, only to begin a separate new fund with a brand-new slate.

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KWCP Daily Roundup June 19 After the Bounce: Look for Bargains

On a Monday, after interesting news by Amazon (AMZN, $995.17) to solidify position in the grocery segment by acquiring Whole Foods Markets (WFM, $43.22). The market resoundingly agreed that this was a formidable combination, however we do believe that grocery delivery will always be harder than simply putting to well-managed companies together. More thoughts to come in future articles. On all the other Juggernaut stocks, as men-tioned, nothing has changed fundamentally in those stocks as this bounce has showed so far to-day.

• Valeant Victory? John Paulson joined the board of Valeant Pharmaceutical (VRX, $13.47). Despite being an activist investor, it doesn’t seem he is interested in meddling much here, as Valeant’s re-turn to health still depends on a combination of it’s ability to (1) successfully divest assets at beneficial terms and (2) renegotiate debt terms to evade business constriction. If anything, Paulson could lend a critical ear to the process. While not a huge victory to the tune of releasing the debt burden, having Paulson there as an investor interested in returning the stock price to healthy levels does not hurt the situation.

• Target Punishment Served. While the failure of Target Stores (TGT, $51.71) in the e-commerce space with the complexity of the Cartwheel app, and the announcement of the takeover of Amazon (AMZN, $995.17) of Whole Foods (WFM, $43.22), we believe this maybe time to take another look at Target. While Walmart, with Mark Lore and Jet.com, looks to square off with Amazon, Target, looks to be the odd-man out of the mano y mano ecomm showdown. However, this has been priced into the stock and any rebuttal to the new industry initiatives by Target have not been factored into the price. Historically, Target has not given up easily on these measures, and they are still well capital-ized with substantial real estate assets and under-standing to drive a next round of competition, one in which they will be considered with the leaders.

• Nordies hanging itself? With Nordstrom’s (JWN, $48.06) announcing exploration into a financial buyout, with each day of no announcement or rumors, we feel there maybe increasing price arbitrage opportunity to the downside as there are fewer and fewer secret suitors of that size left in the world.

• Juggernaut 8: As the Juggernaut 8, trades up and bounces back from the technical sell-off last week, while we believe these are still very valuable set of companies to the market and business we are looking for perhaps a larger pull-back on marketwide trend to jump in deeper. Tesla (TSLA, $369.80) is the only stock pulling back today after a longer run up than the group, so we suggest to remain on the sidelines. Apple (AAPL, $146.34) and Nvidia (NVDA, $157.32) do look closer than the other currently, and with a small move to the downside, we do believe taking a stronger position. Room to the upside on both stocks here remains substantial.

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